First look at 2019 Louisiana Governor's race

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The Mason Dixon polling group just released new numbers showing what voters think of the governor's job performance, and if they'd like to see a change. 

They surveyed more than 600 registered voters of all ages and political parties from across the state.

The results could be encouraging for current Governor John Bel Edwards as well as the republicans who could run against him. 

First, the Louisiana voters were asked about the governor's job performance.

Fifty-five percent of voters statewide approve of the governor's job performance. Thirty-one percent of voters disapprove and 14 percent said they aren't sure.

A majority of voters' approval is a good sign for the governor as he heads toward a re-election campaign. However, the poll's results give republicans reason to feel optimistic as well.

The poll asked voters who they would vote for today if the governor ran against high-profile Republican Senator John Kennedy.

In that hypothetical race, the governor has a razor-thin lead with 45 percent to the Senator's 44 percent. 

With the margin of error in this poll being plus-or-minus 4 percent, that puts them in a statistical tie. 

This means both sides would be trying to get the votes of the 11 percent who said they are undecided today.

However, this remains just a hypothetical matchup.

Kennedy is just two years into his first six-year term as a U.S.. Senator. He did spend 17 years as the State Treasurer, so it's possible he'd prefer the Governor's Mansion to Washington D.C.

In another hypothetical matchup, Majority Whip Steve Scalise runs similar to Kennedy, but received slightly lower support in each political group.

Where Edwards narrowly holds a lead of Kennedy, he has a 3 percent advantage over Scalise. When matched against Representative Ralph Abraham, Edwards enjoys a 51 percent to 28 percent margin, according to the poll. 

According to the report, an Edwards-Kennedy race runs virtually identical to a Edwards-Scalise race when it comes to demographics. 

There is still a lot that can happen between now and election day 2019, as it is more than a year and a half away. 

For the people in charge of these campaigns, the numbers can give them plenty to think about. 


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